Guides
Own van or courier: where the break-even actually sits
Every growing delivery operation in Dubai reaches the same fork. The courier invoice has started to look like a salary, and somebody suggests putting a van on the road instead. The honest answer is arithmetic, it is simpler than it looks, and for a lot of businesses asking the question it comes out in the courier’s favour. Here is how to work out which side of the line you are on, with our own numbers on the table.
The frame
A monthly rate and a per-parcel rate are not comparable numbers
This is where most of these conversations go wrong in the first minute. One side of the comparison is a fixed cost and the other is a variable one, and until they are expressed in the same unit the discussion is just two people quoting prices at each other.
A courier charges you nothing on a day you ship nothing. A van costs the same whether it leaves the yard or not. That asymmetry is the entire decision, and it means the only question worth asking is: how many parcels a day does the van have to carry before it costs less than paying somebody per parcel?
Everything else — service quality, branding, control, returns — matters, and this guide gets to it. But it matters as a reason to accept a number you have already worked out, not as a substitute for working it out. Businesses that skip the arithmetic tend to put a van on the road for reasons that sound like strategy and discover eight months later that it was carrying nine parcels a day.
So: get your current courier rate per parcel, including any fuel surcharge and any charge for a failed delivery. One number. Then read on.
Our side
What a van actually costs you a month
Half of this calculation is published on our rate card, so there is no guesswork in it. A Toyota Hiace on a monthly contract is AED 3,000, which is the figure the rest of this page uses.
That rate already carries the things that make owning a van expensive: comprehensive insurance, registration, scheduled servicing and maintenance, roadside assistance and a replacement vehicle if yours is off the road. It includes 3,500 km a month. What sits outside it is fuel, tolls, traffic fines, kilometres beyond the allowance at AED 0.50 to 0.80, and VAT. The cost guide takes every line of that apart.
Then the driver, which is the part people underestimate. If you already employ somebody who can take the round — and who is not more valuable doing something else that day — the van is the only new cost. If you do not, a driver from us is AED 250 for a full day, which across a six-day week works out at roughly 26 working days a month. Whether to employ one at all is a question of its own.
Those two cases produce very different answers, so the table below runs both. Neither includes fuel or tolls, because those depend on your route and we do not quote figures that move. Adding them pushes the van’s break-even higher, which means the table is already generous to the van.
The number
The break-even, in parcels a day
A Hiace at AED 3,000 a month across 26 working days is about AED 115 a day for the vehicle. Add our driver and the day costs about AED 365. Divide either by what you pay a courier per parcel and you have your answer.
| Your courier rate | Van only — driver already on your payroll | Van plus a driver from us |
|---|---|---|
| AED 10 a parcel | 12 parcels a day | 37 parcels a day |
| AED 15 a parcel | 8 parcels a day | 24 parcels a day |
| AED 20 a parcel | 6 parcels a day | 18 parcels a day |
| AED 25 a parcel | 5 parcels a day | 15 parcels a day |
| AED 30 a parcel | 4 parcels a day | 12 parcels a day |
Read a row and you have the volume at which the van starts to win. At AED 15 a parcel with a driver you are hiring, the van needs 24 drops a day before it beats the courier. At the same rate, if the driver is already on the payroll, it needs eight.
Those two columns are the same vehicle. The difference between them is a salary, and that is the single biggest variable in the whole exercise. Before deciding you are a van business, be honest about which column you are actually in — a warehouse supervisor who disappears for four hours a day is not a free driver.
Run your own rate rather than the nearest row. The arithmetic is one division, and it is worth doing with your real courier invoice rather than the headline rate you were quoted when you signed.
The verdict
Where the line usually lands, and it is not where people expect
We hire out vans for a living, so take this as it is meant: for most businesses asking this question for the first time, the courier is still the right answer.
A hired driver pushes the break-even into the twenties at ordinary courier rates, and a round of twenty-four successful drops a day is a real operation, not a side activity. It needs the orders to exist, it needs them to be geographically close enough to do in one day, and it needs somebody to sequence them. Plenty of businesses that feel busy are shipping eight or ten a day.
Where the van wins quickly is the other column. If the driver exists already — a shop with staff who are not fully occupied, a kitchen with a runner, a trade counter with a van driver doing collections anyway — the bar drops to single figures, and the decision changes completely. The same is true if your average parcel is large or awkward enough that couriers charge a premium for it, because the van does not care about the size of the box.
And there is a middle case worth naming: volume that is high but seasonal. That is not an argument for owning a van, it is an argument for hiring one when you need it, which is a different thing and is dealt with further down.
Both directions
What the table does not price
A break-even is a floor, not a decision. Several things sit outside it, and they do not all point the same way.
In the courier’s favour. Reach, first of all: a courier covers every emirate and the far corners of this one for the same price, while your van covers whatever one driver can reach between opening and closing. Then the absence of a floor — a quiet month costs you nothing. Then everything that comes with employing a driver: visas, leave, sickness, somebody to cover the round when he is away. And scale, which is a real thing: a parcel going to Fujairah on a courier network costs what it costs, and on your own van it costs a day.
In the van’s favour. Anything the courier network will not take comfortably: oversized items, fragile goods, furniture, anything chilled. Anything needing a time window rather than a day. Anything where the handover is part of the service — installation, assembly, taking the old item away. And anything where a failed delivery is expensive, because your own driver can call the customer, wait ten minutes, or come back after the next drop.
Weigh those against the number rather than instead of it. If the arithmetic says a courier by a wide margin and the service reasons say van, the honest conclusion is usually that you need a better courier arrangement, not a vehicle.
Control
The thing people are really buying is control
When a business puts a van on the road despite the arithmetic, the reason is almost always one of three, and they are worth separating because only two of them are good.
The first is the time window. A courier delivers today; your van delivers at eleven. For a customer taking delivery of something they have to be present for, that difference is the whole experience, and it is worth paying for. It is also the thing most likely to turn a one-off buyer into a repeat one.
The second is what happens when it goes wrong. A failed delivery on a network becomes a ticket, a re-attempt and a conversation two days later. On your own van it becomes a phone call from the driver standing outside. If your product is expensive, perishable, or sold to people who will not wait, that difference compounds quickly, and it is why operations handling cash on delivery often move in-house earlier than the pure arithmetic suggests.
The third reason is the van looking like the business, and it is the weakest one on its own. A branded vehicle is worth having once the round exists; it is not a reason to create the round. If you do go that way, the permit and the certificate we have to issue are set out in branding a hired van, and the cheapest option is far less than most people assume.
Seasonality
Peaks are an argument for hiring, not for owning
Retail volume in this country is not flat, and the break-even is calculated on an average that very few businesses actually experience.
If your round clears the break-even for four months of the year and sits at a third of it for the other eight, a purchased van spends two thirds of its life as a depreciating asset in a car park. A hired one does not: the contract ends, the vehicle goes back, and the cost stops. That is the single strongest argument for hiring over buying in a seasonal business, and it is a different argument from the one the rent or buy guide makes about steady year-round use.
The practical version is a short contract that covers the peak. On our rates the monthly figure beats the daily one at around seventeen days of use in a month, which the monthly page works through, so even a six-week peak is comfortably monthly territory rather than daily. Additional named drivers cost nothing on a monthly agreement, which matters if you are covering a peak with staff rather than one dedicated driver.
Tell us the months rather than guessing at a term. A contract shaped around a season is an ordinary thing to arrange and it is cheaper than discovering in February that you have a van you no longer need.
In practice
The shape most delivery operations settle into
Framing this as a choice between two options is what makes it hard. Almost nobody at scale is doing only one.
The arrangement that tends to survive is a van on the dense core and a courier on everything else. The van takes the postcodes where drops cluster — the ones that make a round efficient and where your customers are concentrated — along with anything oversized, fragile or time-sensitive. The courier takes the long tail: the single parcel to Ras Al Khaimah, the far side of the city on a quiet day, the overflow in a busy week.
That split works because it puts each option where its economics are strongest. The van is a fixed cost, so it should be as full as possible. The courier is a variable one, so it should take the drops that would otherwise make the van inefficient. Measured per parcel, the blended number usually beats either pure approach.
It also gives you a sensible way to grow into it. Start with a single van on the tightest cluster you have, measure what it actually carries for a month, and expand only when that vehicle is genuinely full. If it never fills, you have learned something cheaply, and the contract ends.
Questions
Van or courier questions
How many parcels a day do I need before a van makes sense?
Divide the daily cost of the van by your courier rate per parcel. A Hiace at AED 3,000 a month is about AED 115 a day across 26 working days, or about AED 365 with a driver from us. At AED 15 a parcel that is eight drops a day if you already have a driver, and twenty-four if you do not.
Does the van rate really include everything?
It includes insurance, registration, servicing, roadside assistance, a replacement vehicle and 3,500 km a month. Fuel, tolls, fines, extra kilometres at AED 0.50 to 0.80 and VAT are charged separately at cost. Those extras apply to the van column in the table and not to the courier one, so budget for them before you commit.
Which van suits a parcel round?
For boxed goods a panel van is almost always right, and the choice between them is about load length rather than parcel count. The Hiace suits dense city rounds, the Transit takes longer items, and the size guide compares them properly. Height barriers at residential car parks decide more of these than people expect.
We only need it for the peak season. Is that worth doing?
Often yes, and it is the clearest case for hiring rather than buying. A monthly contract beats the daily rate at around seventeen days of use in a month, so a six-week peak sits comfortably in monthly territory. Tell us the months and we will shape the term around them.
Can we run a van and keep the courier?
That is what most operations end up doing. Put the van on the cluster of postcodes where your drops are densest and leave the long tail with the courier. The van is a fixed cost that should run full; the courier is a variable one that should absorb whatever would make the round inefficient.
What about chilled or frozen deliveries?
The calculation changes, because far fewer networks will carry them and the ones that do charge accordingly. A chiller van is a higher monthly figure than a panel van, so the break-even volume is higher, but the alternative is often not a cheaper courier — it is no courier at all.
Send us your drop count, not your gut feeling
Tell us roughly how many parcels a day you ship, where they cluster, and what you pay per parcel now. We will run the same arithmetic on your figures and say honestly whether a van beats what you already have.
WhatsApp or the contact page. If you have already decided and want the vehicle side costed properly, the delivery and cargo van page has the rates and load figures.